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2024-12-14 09:19:26

Japanese people protested against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. On the evening of 13th, Japanese people held a rally outside the Japanese Foreign Ministry in Tokyo to protest against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. (Xinhua News Agency)Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.China Institute of Building Research signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Huawei, and China Institute of Building Research Co., Ltd. signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. According to the agreement, the two sides will deepen cooperation around the digital and intelligent transformation of the construction industry.


Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.The European Central Bank announced the change in the data release of the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP). The European Central Bank said that on December 5, 2024, the Management Committee approved the change in the data release of the monetary policy portfolio under the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP), because with the time to suspend reinvestment under the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) at the end of 2024 approaching, the euro system will not be in the asset purchase program or emergency anti-epidemic for the first time since 2014. Predictable changes will ensure that the level of transparency provided by future published data remains appropriate. It is reported that the data of the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) will be released once a month instead of once every two months to match the equivalent asset purchase program data series, and the series of historical monthly data since the launch of the program will be released. The release systems of emergency anti-epidemic bond purchase plan (PEPP) and asset purchase plan will be further aligned, including the release of retrospective and prospective redemption data of PEPP. The change will be implemented from January 8, 2025.Hokkaido, Japan will levy accommodation tax from 2026, and it is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach 4.5 billion yen. On December 12, the plenary session of Hokkaido Parliament of Japan passed a regulation to levy accommodation tax on tourists staying in hotels and hotels in Daodao, which is expected to be implemented from April 2026. The accommodation fee per person per night is 500 yen if it is above 50,000 yen (about 2,380 yuan), 200 yen if it is between 20,000 and 50,000 yen, and 100 yen if it is below 20,000 yen. It is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach about 4.5 billion yen, which will be used for transportation infrastructure construction and "excessive tourism" (tourism pollution) countermeasures.


The Shanghai-Kunming Railway's relocation line in Songjiang section was fully connected. At 4: 33 on December 13th, the Shanghai-Kunming Railway's relocation line in Songjiang section was fully connected, marking the completion of the Shanghai-Kunming Railway's relocation project in Songjiang and its successful introduction to Shanghai Songjiang Station. Shanghai Songjiang Station has become a large-scale station where Shanghai-Suzhou-Lake high-speed railway, Shanghai-Kunming high-speed railway and Shanghai-Kunming railway stand side by side. In the future, both high-speed railway and ordinary-speed passenger transport services will be launched. (released in Shanghai)Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.The import price of the United States rose for the second consecutive month. Due to the rising fuel cost, the import price of the United States unexpectedly rose in November, rising for the second consecutive month, and geopolitical tensions pushed up the fuel price. According to data released by the US Department of Labor on Friday, US import prices rose by 0.1% month-on-month in November, which was the same as that of last month. Economists had expected a drop of 0.2%. The US Department of Labor said that the main reason for the increase in import prices in the United States last month was the increase in fuel prices. Due to the increasing tension in the Middle East, the price of imported oil rose by 0.4% in November, after a cumulative decline of 12% from July to October. The data shows that non-oil prices rose by 0.2%.

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